OK, let me weigh into this discussion. I think that all of you made some good points and observations, but also all of you are missing one thing or another. Making dry cured products requires a bit of a learning curve, and as you progress you realize that the more learn, you realize you've barely scratched the surface. It is an art and a science and it requires time and patience as well as failures and successes. So let's go into this with an open mind and not with the stand that we have read all there is to it, or that the way we have been making our salame is the only correct way and we have mastered the craft.
There exists a considerable amount of risk when we make sausages that are essentially raw when consumed. For the most part, it is impossible to eliminate 100% of the risk, but there are well established methods to mitigate this risk. The best way to practice risk mitigation is to adopt what is known as hurdle technology developed over 40 years ago by a German scientist, Lothar Leistner. Stan Marianski explains it very well here:
http://www.meatsandsausages.com/sausage ... ty-hurdles
An informative and easy to digest slide presentation is here:
http://www.slideshare.net/pallvidhotra/ ... technology
And a summary by Leistner himself is here.
https://openagrar.bmel-forschung.de/ser ... -181ff.pdf
If you read the above documents you will have basis from which to develop good practices and applications when making your salami. In almost everything you do, you will be looking at whether you have created enough hurdles to eradicate or slow down various pathogens and unwanted bacteria from growing and multiplying in your salami.
Now to answer the original question whether it is possible to make a safe product without a pH meter and an aW meter? I would venture to say yes, but without that 100% certainty. That is why our government agencies implement standards and regulations that are higher than what might be just adequate. That is also why Stan Marianski's recipes ask for 3% salt when 2.5% is quite satisfactory, and 156ppm nitrite when 120ppm will do. That is why Ruhlman, Cairo, Weiss and Butcher & Packer tell you to dump in half the package of culture into a 5lb batch of salami when a couple of grams could do the trick. And many recipes also ask for more sugar than is necessary so that the lactic bacteria have lots of food to drop the pH. So be careful in selecting recipes as there are many dangerous ones out there. But if you follow one from a credible source, have fresh cultures, use clean very cold or frozen meat, ferment and cure in an appropriate environment, you will probably succeed each time. And like all things that are learned over time, you will come a point when you will recognize wonky recipes and feel comfortable with formulating your own. If you are making the same thing all the time and in the same environment, you will probably get away without checking the pH. When my electrode failed last year I made a few batches of salami without pH readings which turned out well. And I also had a couple failures even though the pH was where I wanted it to be. But it's not what I would recommend for anyone just starting out or trying new products. I advise investing in a meter, or at the very least, using test strips. Lowering the pH is an important hurdle and can be tricky, so we need to know what the heck is going on. Even in Italy they check the pH, and look for that drop even though they don't use starter cultures. We simply don't have that flora in our environment, so we inoculate. I totally believe in using cultures not only for safety reasons but for flavour and aroma that will be similar to that found in Europe. And if you use bioprotective cultures such as B-LC 007 and F-LC you raise a hurdle even higher.
Now, let's look at water activity, the final hurdle. Note that in erecting all the earlier hurdles we already had been slowing down the water activity. (salt, sugars, nitrite and nitrate, fermentation bi-products and even some spices.) The rest we leave to osmosis and dehydration. Fresh meat has a water activity level of .99 and we need to drop it to <.86. At an aW of .91 all pathogens will have been prevented from growing with exception of Staphylococcus aureus. In a perfect world we would have the means to test aW, but the cheapest meter the PaWkit is $2,000 and apparently it's not that accurate. To test accurately we need a laboratory quality unit, running at $6-8k. So for most of us hobbyists, this is not an option. 35% weight loss is considered by many as the safe point, but there is the need to make adjustments for the amount of fat, the type of meat and whether it might have been frozen before or not. But even small producers are allowed to make fermented sausages without continually testing for water activity. So my conclusion is that if you follow the first steps of the hurdle technology, you can succeed without an aW meter, (inasmuch as I would love to have one

) .